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Research Article: Can the date of last menstrual period be trusted in the first trimester? Comparisons of gestational age measures from a prospective cohort study in six low-income to middle-income countries

Date Published: 2023-09-20

Abstract:
Objectives We examined gestational age (GA) estimates for live and still births, and prematurity rates based on last menstrual period (LMP) compared with ultrasonography (USG) among pregnant women at seven sites in six low-resource countries. Design Prospective cohort study Setting and participants This study included data from the Global Network’s population-based Maternal and Newborn Health Registry which follows pregnant women in six low-income and middle-income countries (Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guatemala, India, Kenya, Pakistan and Zambia). Participants in this analysis were 42?803?women, including their 43?230 babies, who registered for the study in their first trimester based on GA estimated either by LMP or USG and had a live or stillbirth with an estimated GA of 20–42 weeks. Outcome measures GA was estimated in weeks and days based on LMP and/or USG. Prematurity was defined as GA of 20 weeks+0?days through 36 weeks+6?days, calculated by both USG and LMP. Results Overall, average GA varied ?1?week between LMP and USG. Mean GA for live births by LMP was lower than by USG (adjusted mean difference (95%?CI) = ?0.23 (–0.29 to –0.17) weeks). Among stillbirths, a higher GA was estimated by LMP than USG (adjusted mean difference (95%?CI)= 0.42 (0.11 to 0.72) weeks). Preterm birth rates for live births were significantly higher when dated by LMP (adjusted rate difference (95%?CI)= 4.20 (3.56 to 4.85)). There was no significant difference in preterm birth rates for stillbirths. Conclusion The small differences in GA for LMP versus USG in the Guatemalan and Indian sites suggest that LMP may be a useful alternative to USG for GA dating during the first trimester until availability of USG improves in those areas. Further research is needed to assess LMP for first-trimester GA dating in other regions with limited access to USG. Trial registration number NCT01073475 .

Introduction:
Epidemiological research and public health interventions directed at improving women’s and neonates’ health during pregnancy, intrapartum and postpartum, particularly in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) focus on key health indicators such as preterm birth or small for gestational age (SGA) infants as they contribute to the majority of neonatal morbidities and mortality. 1 Estimation of burden of preterm births or SGA infants relies on accurate estimation of gestational age (GA). GA also needs to be…

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